How about PVC market spot price, how will the PVC price go?

PVC spot market

任何产品的价格波动总是有一定规律可循，PVC产品也不例外。 通过五年PVC价格对比发现，PVC价格走势存在一定相似性，除去在疫情影响下PVC价格出现不正常的大涨大跌之外，PVC价格区间基本保持在6000-8000元/吨左右，而当前PVC价格主流在6200-6500元/吨左右，由此可以看出当前价格处于一个偏低水平。

Any product prices can always wave regularly, so there’s no exception for PVC products. By the comparison of PVC prices in five years, it is found that there is a certain similarity in the trend of PVC prices. In addition to the abnormal sharp rise and fall of PVC prices under the influence of the epidemic, the PVC price range basically remains around 6000-8000 yuan/ton, while the current PVC price is around 6200-6500 yuan/ton, It can be seen that the current price is at a low level.

PVC future market

近日，PVC期货走势偏强，价格持续上涨。截止1月13日，PVC期货2305合约高开高走，开盘6419，最高6496，最低6403，收盘报6469，涨62，涨幅为0.97%。成交量报846433手，持仓量增加8515手至764223手。

Recently, the trend of PVC futures is strong and the price continues to rise. As of January 13, the PVC futures 2305 contract opened higher, with the opening of 6419, the highest of 6496, the lowest of 6403, and the closing of 6469, up 62, or 0.97%. The trading volume was 846433, and the position increased by 8515 to 764223.

后市预测 Prediction

首先，PVC价格方面，PVC价格处于一个偏低水平，继续走跌的可能性不大，若出现其他因素提振，存一定上涨空间；其次供需方面，PVC供应有一定缩减，而当前下游需求偏淡，且随着假期临近，下游工厂逐渐停工放假，故供需基本面变化不大；最后，国际方面，欧美以及亚洲地区PVC价格走势偏强，且部分国际PVC市场参与人士认为价格仍有上涨空间，故对国内PVC价格有所支撑。

First, in terms of PVC price, price of PVC still in a low level, it is unlikely to continue to fall. If other factors boost, there is some room for increase. Secondly, in terms of supply and demand, PVC supply has certain reduced, while the current downstream demand is weak, and with the holiday approaching, the downstream factories are gradually shut down for holiday, so the supply and demand fundamentals have not changed much; Finally, internationally, the price trend of PVC in Europe, America and Asia is relatively strong, and some participants in the international PVC market believe that the price still has room to rise, so it supports the domestic PVC price.

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